In 2003 President George W. Bush called on members of the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) to pursue more targeted forms of sanctions that would prevent sub-state and non-state actors from acquiring Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD). Out of this came United Nations Security Council (UNSC) Resolution 1540. UNSC Resolution 1540 (simply '1540' below) does … Continue reading Counter-Proliferation Finance
Buying a Russian S-400 Triumf Air Defense System
In September of 2017 Turkey signed a $2.5 billion contract to buy S-400 Triumf air defense systems from Russia. The US was none-too-pleased with the news and voiced disdain for the purchase repeatedly. Frustration with Turkey is based on the expectation that they will procure NATO-approved products for the sake of systems interoperability. In a … Continue reading Buying a Russian S-400 Triumf Air Defense System
How hard is it to get a sense of the Russian Armed Forces budget data?
It’s not very hard to get a number, or a couple numbers. I found close to a dozen sources that would state a budget or a spending number. Those are not necessarily the same thing. There were more that discussed percentages increase or decrease, and then went on to discuss what that might mean either for the Russian economy, procurement goals or both.
How do the Russian Armed Forces express jointness?
We’ve seen a resurgent Russian military in Syria in the last few years, and they seem to be notably more effective than the team we saw in Georgia and Chechnya. They have new weapons for sure, but there is also performance that reflects a new training structure that leverages effective joint operations. Did they have a Goldwater-Nichols moment? Well, sorta.
Coursework: NODIS – Stretch Armstrong
This was a response memo crafted to simulate having 24hrs to recommend to the US Department of State, whether or not to use a tactical nuclear strike against five high value terrorists gathered “at a cave complex in the Mount Lebanon range, not far from Qurnat as Sawda.” MEMO TO: The SecretarySUBJECT: Emergency NSC Meeting … Continue reading Coursework: NODIS – Stretch Armstrong
US Counterinsurgency Strategy in the Sahel
The deaths of four special operators in Niger late last year introduced the public US military activity in the African Sahel. This band of semi-arid flat land between the Sahara and savannah stretches from Africa’s Atlantic coast across to the Red Sea. It is home to an interlocking network of insurgencies, drug and human trafficking, … Continue reading US Counterinsurgency Strategy in the Sahel
Deterrent in Chief
All I want for Christmas is rational nuclear deterrence. Tall order, but I’ve done everything I can to stay on the “Nice” list. I’m not the only one asking for someone to make me feel better about the spectre of looming thermonuclear war with North Korea. As Mary Chesnut noted, Obama’s 2010 Nuclear Posture Review is … Continue reading Deterrent in Chief
Korean Think Tanks you ask?
In recent discussion about the world of think tanks, a question was raised about the think tank culture in Korea. The question reminded me of a list I found a few years ago when I was trying to understand the think tank industry. What I was looking for was a sort of directory, or who’s … Continue reading Korean Think Tanks you ask?
The Defense Department is Serious About Climate Change
Net Assessment has been lauded for finding novel ways of countering the strategic advantages that the Soviet Union amassed at different times up until its collapse. But Marshall’s focus on the Soviet Threat essentially coupled the man, the office and the practice to that same irrelevance that the US Defense establishment has viewed Russia since … Continue reading The Defense Department is Serious About Climate Change
Cabinet-level Influence of Executive Leadership
Secretary of Defense James Mattis, along with Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Joseph Dunford, have each demonstrated a willingness to speak publicly in contradiction or refutation of President Donald Trump’s tweets. Contradicting a sitting president to the public while being a member of the cabinet would normally … Continue reading Cabinet-level Influence of Executive Leadership